GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 6/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Yelimay Semey are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ordabasy are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ordabasy

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay SemeyWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OrdabasyWWWWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Yelimay SemeyOrdabasy
48.3Attack63.5
60.0Defence76.2
51.7Form77.8
55.2Power73.6
0.74xG1.47
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