Premier LeaguePremier League
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:13
Yelimay Semey

Yelimay Semey

Home
DD
20
Full time
Kyzyl-Zhar

Kyzyl-Zhar

Away
L
Stadion Spartak
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Yelimay Semey(49%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Yelimay Semey
Win probability
Yelimay Semey
49%
Draw
27%
Kyzyl-Zhar
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Yelimay Semey
54
Kyzyl-Zhar
9
Defence
Yelimay Semey
46
Kyzyl-Zhar
27
Momentum
Yelimay Semey
33
Kyzyl-Zhar
0
Danger (xG)
Yelimay Semey
1.35
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Yelimay Semey)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Kyzyl-Zhar)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Yelimay Semey)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Kyzyl-Zhar)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey
DDWD
Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar
LL

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Yelimay Semey49%
Draw27%
Kyzyl-Zhar25%

Yelimay Semey leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Yelimay Semey head into this in Premier League fixture at Stadion Spartak in mixed form (DD), while Kyzyl-Zhar arrive in mixed form (L). Yelimay Semey have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Kyzyl-Zhar over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Yelimay Semey's decent attack (54/100) faces a vulnerable Kyzyl-Zhar defence (27/100), while Kyzyl-Zhar's attack is up against a average Yelimay Semey backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Yelimay Semey's favour.

Yelimay Semey have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Kyzyl-Zhar have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Yelimay Semey have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Yelimay Semey to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Yelimay Semey 4890%, Draw 2650%, Kyzyl-Zhar 2470%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Yelimay Semey 1Draws 00 Kyzyl-Zhar
Avg goals: 2.0
27 Jun 2026
Yelimay Semey
W20
Kyzyl-Zhar

Recent form

Yelimay Semey

Yelimay Semey

D
vs Alashkert
16 Jul 2026
22
D
@ Alashkert
9 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
27 Jun 2026
20
D
@ Irtysh
16 May 2026
22
Kyzyl-Zhar

Kyzyl-Zhar

L
@ Yelimay Semey
27 Jun 2026
02
L
@ Zhenys
13 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

GoalVio's model predicts Yelimay Semey to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more