Yelimay Semeyvs
Kairat Almaty
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yelimay Semey 0-2 Kairat Almaty
Original prediction
Kairat Almaty
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.6% | 20.3% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 23.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.2% | 55.7% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Kairat Almaty
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80