GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Yelimay Semey are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Premier League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

14.9%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay SemeyWDDLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
FK Tobol KostanayLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Yelimay SemeyFK Tobol Kostanay
48.3Attack35.0
60.0Defence53.3
51.7Form36.7
55.2Power43.8
1.50xG0.74
View match centre →