Yelimay Semeyvs
Aktobe
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yelimay Semey 1-3 Aktobe
Original prediction
Yelimay Semey
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.9% | 37.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 27.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.8% | 34.8% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Yelimay Semey
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20