GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yelimay Semey 2 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kaspij Aktau 2 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspij Aktau 2 hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay Semey 2LLLDD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kaspij Aktau 2LDLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay Semey 2Kaspij Aktau 2
25.9Attack50.0
40.7Defence42.6
22.2Form44.4
32.8Power45.5
1.05xG1.73
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