GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ekibastuz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Yelimay Semey 2 are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Ekibastuz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekibastuz hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the 1. Division, while Ekibastuz holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ekibastuz

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

13.4%

Ekibastuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay Semey 2LDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
EkibastuzWLLLL

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Yelimay Semey 2Ekibastuz
25.9Attack44.4
40.7Defence42.6
22.2Form48.1
32.8Power47.0
1.04xG1.55
View match centre →