Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeclano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yeclano 2-0 La Nucía, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeclano 0-1 La Nucía
Original prediction
Yeclano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.3% | 49.5% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.8% | 27.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 26.9% | 23.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Projected Score
Yeclano 2–0 La Nucía
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Yeclano
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Yeclano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
YeclanoDWDDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
La NucíaWWLLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
YeclanoLa Nucía
50.0Attack22.5
50.0Defence38.2
50.0Form20.6
50.0Power30.3
1.95xG0.60