Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeclano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeclano 1-0 Elche II
Original prediction
Yeclano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.0% | 41.1% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 28.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.5% | 30.0% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Yeclano
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Yeclano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
YeclanoLDWDD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Elche IIWLDWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
YeclanoElche II
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.31xG1.12