Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Yate Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Weymouth are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yate Town
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60