Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Yate Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Uxbridge are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Uxbridge hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Uxbridge holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40