Yate Townvs
Frome Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frome Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yate Town 3-3 Frome Town
Original prediction
Frome Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 29.4% | 25.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 24.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.7% | 49.4% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Frome Town
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Frome Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80