Yate Townvs
Evesham United
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/24/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.4% | 46.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.4% | 23.5% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.1% | 29.6% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Yate Town
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yate TownDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Evesham UnitedLDWWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Yate TownEvesham United
47.6Attack52.4
47.6Defence33.3
52.4Form47.6
52.1Power45.6
1.99xG1.47