GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yate Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yate Town

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yate TownDDWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Evesham UnitedWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Yate TownEvesham United
33.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence0.0
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power40.7
1.87xG1.29
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