Yate Townvs
Chippenham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yate Town 0-0 Chippenham Town
Original prediction
Yate Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.8% | 40.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 26.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.4% | 32.8% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Yate Town
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40