GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/23/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yate Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yate TownLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownLLWLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Yate TownChertsey Town
33.3Attack83.3
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power89.7
1.31xG1.57
View match centre →