Yate Townvs
Berkhamsted
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yate Town 0-3 Berkhamsted
Original prediction
Yate Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.0% | 37.9% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 26.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.6% | 35.2% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Yate Town
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20