GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/11/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yate Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Berkhamsted are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yate Town

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yate TownLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BerkhamstedLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Yate TownBerkhamsted
33.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power45.8
1.74xG1.23
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