GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/13/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taraz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yassy Turkistan are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Taraz are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Taraz hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the 1. Division, while Taraz holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taraz

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yassy TurkistanWWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
TarazLLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Yassy TurkistanTaraz
55.6Attack42.6
30.9Defence57.4
38.3Form44.4
42.3Power49.5
1.53xG1.68
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