Persha LigaPersha Liga
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:43
Yarud Mariupol'

Yarud Mariupol'

Home
D
01
Full time
Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Away
D
Kolos Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Yarud Mariupol'(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Yarud Mariupol'
40%
Draw
27%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Yarud Mariupol'
34
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
34
Defence
Yarud Mariupol'
66
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
66
Momentum
Yarud Mariupol'
33
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
33
Danger (xG)
Yarud Mariupol'
0.90
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Yarud Mariupol')
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Yarud Mariupol')
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'
DDD
Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka
DL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Yarud Mariupol'40%
Draw27%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka33%

Yarud Mariupol' leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Yarud Mariupol' head into this in Persha Liga fixture at Kolos Stadium in mixed form (D), while Viktoriya Mykolaivka arrive in mixed form (D). Yarud Mariupol' have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Viktoriya Mykolaivka over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Yarud Mariupol' (66/100) and Viktoriya Mykolaivka (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Yarud Mariupol' have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Viktoriya Mykolaivka have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Yarud Mariupol' and Viktoriya Mykolaivka in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Yarud Mariupol' to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Yarud Mariupol' 4009%, Draw 2731%, Viktoriya Mykolaivka 3260%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Yarud Mariupol'

Yarud Mariupol'

D
@ Karpaty
2 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Veres Rivne
27 Jun 2026
11
D
vs Probiy Horodenka
17 May 2026
00
Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

D
@ Livyi Bereh
14 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Yarud Mariupol' vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?

GoalVio's model predicts Yarud Mariupol' to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Yarud Mariupol' vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Yarud Mariupol' vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yarud Mariupol' vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more