Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yarmouk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yarmouk 0-0 Burgan
Original prediction
Yarmouk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 18:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.1% | 45.8% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 27.4% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.33 | 16.8% | 26.8% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Yarmouk
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Yarmouk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
YarmoukWLDWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BurganLWWDL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
YarmoukBurgan
50.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
50.0Power23.7
1.59xG1.11