Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yarmouk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Yarmouk are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Al Sahel are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 69.8 against 70.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Division 1, while Yarmouk holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yarmouk
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Yarmouk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50