Yaracuyanos FCvs
Urena SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yaracuyanos FC 0-0 Urena SC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yaracuyanos FC 4-3 Urena SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.4% | 34.6% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 30.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.3% | 35.4% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Yaracuyanos FC 0–0 Urena SC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yaracuyanos FCDWWLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Urena SCLLDDD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yaracuyanos FCUrena SC
40.9Attack51.5
68.2Defence68.2
51.5Form59.1
55.5Power61.0
0.82xG0.91