Yaracuyanos FCvs
Fundación Lara Deportiva
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yaracuyanos FC 3-2 Fundación Lara Deportiva
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.0% | 36.6% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.1% | 29.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 31.9% | 33.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80