Yaracuyanos FCvs
Fundación Lara Deportiva
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yaracuyanos FC 1-1 Fundación Lara Deportiva
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.5% | 57.5% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.2% | 22.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.2% | 20.3% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40