Yaracuyanos FCvs
Club Atletico Barinas
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/25/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yaracuyanos FC 1-0 Club Atletico Barinas
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 12:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.2% | 56.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.7% | 23.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.1% | 20.2% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20