Yaracuyanos FCvs
Aragua FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 9/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yaracuyanos FC 2-5 Aragua FC
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.9% | 48.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.5% | 27.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.5% | 24.6% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00