Yangpyeongvs
Ulsan Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulsan Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yangpyeong 2-1 Ulsan Citizen
Original prediction
Ulsan Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.7% | 29.7% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 27.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.2% | 43.3% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Ulsan Citizen
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Ulsan Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00