Yangpyeongvs
Pocheon
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pocheon · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yangpyeong 0-2 Pocheon
Original prediction
Pocheon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.89 | 18.5% | 13.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.2% | 18.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.3% | 68.1% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Pocheon
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
68.1%
Pocheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
YangpyeongLLDLL
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PocheonWLWDL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
YangpyeongPocheon
42.9Attack57.1
34.9Defence69.8
27.0Form66.7
37.3Power65.7
0.76xG2.22