Yangon Unitedvs
Ezra
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 9/8/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yangon United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yangon United 2-1 Ezra
Original prediction
Yangon United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 72.7% | 54.5% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 15.4% | 23.6% | 8.2 pts |
| Away | 7.50 | 11.8% | 21.9% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Yangon United
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Yangon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00