GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/18/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mokpo City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yangju Citizen are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Mokpo City are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mokpo City hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the K3 League, while Mokpo City holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mokpo City

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Mokpo City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yangju CitizenDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Mokpo CityW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Yangju CitizenMokpo City
34.5Attack54.4
40.5Defence50.0
22.6Form54.4
35.5Power53.6
1.04xG1.88
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