Yanbian Longdingvs
Nantong Zhiyun
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yanbian Longding 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yanbian Longding 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Original prediction
Nantong Zhiyun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.64 | 24.8% | 29.1% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 31.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.3% | 39.6% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Yanbian Longding 0–0 Nantong Zhiyun
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Zhiyun
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60