GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/6/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yanbian Longding · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Yanbian Longding are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hebei Kungfu are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Yanbian Longding hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the League One, while Yanbian Longding holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yanbian Longding

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Yanbian Longding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yanbian LongdingDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Hebei KungfuLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Yanbian LongdingHebei Kungfu
47.4Attack22.2
71.9Defence59.3
56.1Form27.8
59.7Power39.4
1.32xG0.36
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