GGOALVIO

China · League One · 9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangzhou E-Power · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Yanbian Longding 1-2 Guangzhou E-Power

Original prediction

Guangzhou E-Power

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.7823.9%21.8%-2.1 pts
Draw3.5025.8%25.5%-0.3 pts
Away1.7950.3%52.6%2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–115%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Guangzhou E-Power

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Guangzhou E-Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yanbian LongdingLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guangzhou E-PowerDDWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yanbian LongdingGuangzhou E-Power
46.4Attack66.7
63.8Defence72.5
50.7Form73.9
55.0Power71.7
0.78xG1.39
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