Yalova Yeşilovasporvs
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yalova Yeşilovaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yalova Yeşilovaspor 0-3 Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Original prediction
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.4% | 39.0% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 29.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.6% | 31.4% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Yalova Yeşilovaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60