Yalova Yeşilovasporvs
Kartal Bulvarspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kartal Bulvarspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yalova Yeşilovaspor 2-4 Kartal Bulvarspor
Original prediction
Kartal Bulvarspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.9% | 29.8% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 25.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.2% | 44.3% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Kartal Bulvarspor
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Kartal Bulvarspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00