Yalova Yeşilovasporvs
Gölcükspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yalova Yeşilovaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yalova Yeşilovaspor 3-3 Gölcükspor
Original prediction
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.5% | 38.2% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 28.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.0% | 33.5% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Yalova Yeşilovaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80