Yacoub El Mansourvs
Riadi Salmi
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola 2 · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yacoub El Mansour · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yacoub El Mansour 1-0 Riadi Salmi, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yacoub El Mansour 1-0 Riadi Salmi
Original prediction
Yacoub El Mansour
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.1% | 47.0% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.5% | 29.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.89 | 18.4% | 23.4% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Projected Score
Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Riadi Salmi
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Yacoub El Mansour
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Yacoub El Mansour has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80