Yacoub El Mansourvs
Chabab Mohammédia
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola 2 · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yacoub El Mansour · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yacoub El Mansour 2-0 Chabab Mohammédia
Original prediction
Yacoub El Mansour
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 52.8% | 41.9% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 28.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.4% | 29.4% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Yacoub El Mansour
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Yacoub El Mansour has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40