GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

XV de Piracicaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

XV de Piracicaba are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the Serie D, while XV de Piracicaba holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

XV de Piracicaba

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

27.3%

XV de Piracicaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

XV de PiracicabaDWDDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJDWDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
XV de PiracicabaSampaio Corrêa RJ
40.5Attack25.0
66.7Defence66.7
52.4Form36.1
54.7Power45.5
0.89xG0.44
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