GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 7/4/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

XV de Piracicaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

XV de Piracicaba are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ponte Preta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 43.2-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Copa Paulista, while XV de Piracicaba holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

XV de Piracicaba

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

XV de Piracicaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

XV de PiracicabaLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ponte PretaWWLDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
XV de PiracicabaPonte Preta
33.3Attack0.0
92.9Defence66.7
69.0Form0.0
66.9Power23.7
1.00xG0.44
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