GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

XV de Piracicaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

XV de Piracicaba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nova Iguaçu are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.8% in the Serie D, while XV de Piracicaba holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

XV de Piracicaba

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

27.8%

XV de Piracicaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

XV de PiracicabaWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Nova IguaçuLWDDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
XV de PiracicabaNova Iguaçu
40.5Attack23.3
66.7Defence66.7
52.4Form40.0
54.7Power46.1
0.89xG0.43
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