Copa PaulistaCopa Paulista
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:07
XV de Piracicaba

XV de Piracicaba

Home
D
02
Full time
Comercial

Comercial

Away
Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Comercial(42%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
XV de Piracicaba
34%
Draw
24%
Comercial
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (XV de Piracicaba)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (XV de Piracicaba)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
XV de PiracicabaXV de Piracicaba
DW

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
XV de Piracicaba34%
Draw24%
Comercial42%

Comercial leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

XV de Piracicaba head into this in Copa Paulista fixture at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra in mixed form (D), while Comercial arrive in unknown form.

XV de Piracicaba have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Comercial have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between XV de Piracicaba and Comercial in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Comercial to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: XV de Piracicaba 3402%, Draw 2405%, Comercial 4193%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

XV de Piracicaba

XV de Piracicaba

D
vs Cianorte
11 Jul 2026
00
W
@ CFRJ / Maricá
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win XV de Piracicaba vs Comercial?

GoalVio's model predicts Comercial to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba vs Comercial?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in XV de Piracicaba vs Comercial?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in XV de Piracicaba vs Comercial?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more