Paulista - U20Paulista - U20
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:39
XV de Piracicaba U20

XV de Piracicaba U20

Home
WW
30
Full time
Aguai U20

Aguai U20

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

XV de Piracicaba U2036%
Draw35%
Aguai U2030%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: XV de Piracicaba U20
Win probability
XV de Piracicaba U20
36%
Draw
35%
Aguai U20
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
XV de Piracicaba U20
73
Aguai U20
9
Defence
XV de Piracicaba U20
91
Aguai U20
6
Momentum
XV de Piracicaba U20
100
Aguai U20
0
Danger (xG)
XV de Piracicaba U20
1.80
Aguai U20
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (XV de Piracicaba U20)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Aguai U20)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (XV de Piracicaba U20)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Aguai U20)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
XV de Piracicaba U20XV de Piracicaba U20
WW
Aguai U20Aguai U20
L

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
XV de Piracicaba U2036%
Draw35%
Aguai U2030%

XV de Piracicaba U20 leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

XV de Piracicaba U20 head into this in Paulista - U20 fixture in decent form (WW), while Aguai U20 arrive in mixed form (L). XV de Piracicaba U20 have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Aguai U20 over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. XV de Piracicaba U20's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Aguai U20 defence (6/100), while Aguai U20's attack is up against a watertight XV de Piracicaba U20 backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in XV de Piracicaba U20's favour.

XV de Piracicaba U20 have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Aguai U20 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

XV de Piracicaba U20 have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects XV de Piracicaba U20 to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: XV de Piracicaba U20 3550%, Draw 3500%, Aguai U20 2950%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

XV de Piracicaba U20 1Draws 00 Aguai U20
Avg goals: 3.0
17 Jul 2026
XV de Piracicaba U20
W30
Aguai U20

Recent form

XV de Piracicaba U20

XV de Piracicaba U20

W
vs Aguai U20
17 Jul 2026
30
W
vs Desportivo Brasil U20
13 Jul 2026
10
Aguai U20

Aguai U20

L
@ XV de Piracicaba U20
17 Jul 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Aguai U20?

GoalVio's model predicts XV de Piracicaba U20 to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Aguai U20?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Aguai U20?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Aguai U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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