Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Xorazm are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olmaliq are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olmaliq hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40