Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Xorazm are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dostlik are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Xorazm hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 33.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Pro League A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.25/1.75