Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Xorazm are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bunyodkor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.7 against 43.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60