GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 10/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Xi'an Ronghai · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Xi'an Ronghai 0-0 Shenzhen 2028, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Xi'an Ronghai 1-0 Shenzhen 2028

Original prediction

Xi'an Ronghai

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0543.7%44.7%0.9 pts
Draw3.0729.2%30.4%1.2 pts
Away3.3127.1%25.0%-2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.9 pts

Projected Score

Xi'an Ronghai 0–0 Shenzhen 2028

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Xi'an Ronghai

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Xi'an Ronghai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Xi'an RonghaiWDWLD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shenzhen 2028LLDWL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Xi'an RonghaiShenzhen 2028
41.0Attack50.0
75.6Defence62.8
60.3Form52.6
60.5Power55.5
0.99xG0.66
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