Xi'an Ronghaivs
Jiangxi Liansheng
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xi'an Ronghai · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Xi'an Ronghai 0-0 Jiangxi Liansheng, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Xi'an Ronghai 2-1 Jiangxi Liansheng
Original prediction
Xi'an Ronghai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.4% | 39.5% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.8% | 33.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.8% | 27.1% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Xi'an Ronghai 0–0 Jiangxi Liansheng
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Xi'an Ronghai
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Xi'an Ronghai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00