Xi'an Ronghaivs
Guizhou Zhucheng
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Xi'an Ronghai 0-0 Guizhou Zhucheng, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Xi'an Ronghai 1-0 Guizhou Zhucheng
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.5% | 32.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.6% | 34.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.0% | 33.3% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Xi'an Ronghai 0–0 Guizhou Zhucheng
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.0%
Model confidence
34.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Xi'an RonghaiLDLWW
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guizhou ZhuchengLDDLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Xi'an RonghaiGuizhou Zhucheng
42.0Attack46.4
73.9Defence73.9
58.0Form60.9
59.3Power60.6
0.70xG0.67