Xiamen Feiluvs
Qingdao Red Lions
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xiamen Feilu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Xiamen Feilu 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Xiamen Feilu 3-0 Qingdao Red Lions
Original prediction
Xiamen Feilu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.7% | 40.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.6% | 32.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 23.7% | 27.5% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Projected Score
Xiamen Feilu 0–0 Qingdao Red Lions
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Xiamen Feilu
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Xiamen Feilu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40